Relationship between alcohol consumption and new-onset cholelithiasis: a multicentre retrospective study (A report of 77 755 cases)
2018
Objective
To explore the relationship between alcohol consumption and new-onset cholelithiasis.
Methods
The retrospective cohort study was conducted. The data of 77 755 participants who participated health examination at the Kailuan General Hospital, Kailuan Linxi Hospital, Kailuan Zhaogezhuang Hospital, Kailuan Tangjiazhuang Hospital, Kailuan Fan′gezhuang Hospital, Kailuan Lyujiatuo Hospital, Kailuan Jinggezhuang Hospital, Kailuan Linnancang Hospital, Kailuan Qianjiaying Hospital, Kailuan Majiagou Hospital and Kailuan Branch Hospital from June 2006 to December 2015 were collected. According to definition of alcohol consumption from literature, all the 77 755 participants were allocated into the 5 groups, including 50 695 with never drinking in the never group, 3 154 with alcohol withdrawal time≥1 year in the past group, 12 410 with light drinking in the light group, 1 606 with moderate drinking in the moderate group and 9 890 with heavy drinking in the heavy group. All participants received the same-order health examinations by the fixed team of doctors in 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012 and 2014 at the same place. Epidemiological investigation, anthropometric parameters and biochemical indicators were collected. Observation indicators: (1) comparisons of clinical characteristics among the 5 groups; (2) incidence of cholelithiasis; (3) risk factors analysis affecting new-onset cholelithiasis; (4) comparisons of the fitting degree of alcohol consumption on new-onset cholelithiasis model. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as ±s, and comparisons among groups were analyzed using the one-way ANOVA. The pairwise comparison and homogeneity of variance were done using the least significance difference (LSD) test. Heterogeneity of variance was analyzed by the Dunnett′s T3 test. Measurement data with skewed distribution were described as M (Q), and comparisons among groups were analyzed using the rank sum test. Comparisons of count data were analyzed using chi-square test. The cumulative incidence of new-onset cholelithiasis was calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method, and comparisons of incidences among groups were done by the Log-rank test. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of different intakes of alcohol on new-onset cholelithiasis were estimated by the COX proportional hazards regression models. The fitting degree of alcohol consumption on new-onset cholelithiasis model was calculated by the likelihood ratio test and akaike information criterion (AIC).
Results
(1) Comparisons of clinical characteristics among the 5 groups: male, age, systolic pressure, diastolic pressure, body mass index (BMI), total cholesterol (TC), triglyceride (TG), fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and waistline and cases with diabetes, hypertension, smoking and physical exercise were respectively 33 406, (51±12)years, (130±21)mmHg (1mmHg=0.133 kPa), (83±12)mmHg, (25±4)kg/m2, (4.93±1.13)mmol/L, 1.26 mmol/L (0.90-1.88 mmol/L), (5.5±1.7)mmol/L, (86±10) cm, 4 538, 21 773, 5 873, 6 140 in the never group and 3 077, (56±12)years, (134±22)mmHg, (85±12)mmHg, (25±3)kg/m2, (4.93±1.21)mmol/L, 1.29 mmol/L (0.91-1.90 mmol/L), (5.6±1.8)mmol/L, (89±9)cm, 420, 1 652, 856, 856 in the past group and 11 859, (46±12)years, (127±19)mmHg, (82±11)mmHg, (25±3)kg/m2, (4.89±1.15)mmol/L, 1.30 mmol/L (0.89-2.01 mmol/L), (5.4±1.4)mmol/L, (87±9)cm, 891, 4 294, 2 186, 2 186 in the light group and 1 585, (58±11)years, (134±22)mmHg, (84±11)mmHg, (25±3)kg/m2, (5.06±1.21)mmol/L, 1.23 mmol/L (0.85-1.82 mmol/L), (5.5±1.7)mmol/L, (88±9)cm, 159, 762, 591, 591 in the moderate group and 9 868, (52±9)years, (135±21)mmHg, (86±12)mmHg, (25±3)kg/m2, (5.18±1.21)mmol/L, 1.36 mmol/L (0.92-2.19 mmol/L), (5.5±1.5)mmol/L, (88±9)cm, 819, 4 900, 2 183, 2 183 in the heavy group, showing statistically significant differences among groups [χ2=9 989.71, F=869.28, F=254.13, 195.97, 27.52, 112.63, H(χ2)=154.09, F=11.92, 63.37, χ2=128.17, 656.31, 23 561.80, 656.31, P 0.05). (3) Risk factors analysis affecting new-onset cholelithiasis: results of COX proportional hazards regression models showed that risks of new-onset cholelithiasis in the light, moderate and heavy groups were reduced compared with never group after adjustment of gender, age, TC, TG, BMI, hypertension, diabetes, smoking and physical exercise (HR=0.88, 0.82, 0.73, 95%CI: 0.79-0.98, 0.76-0.89, 0.64-0.83, P<0.05). (4) Comparisons of the fitting degree of alcohol consumption on new-onset cholelithiasis model: multivariate model was constructed after adding risk factors of gender, age, BMI, TG, TC, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, smoking and physical exercise, and -2Log L and AIC were 76 331.83 and 76 353.83 for the multivariate model. Then drinking variable was added into multivariate model, and the -2Log L and AIC of the multivariate model+ drinking model were 76 307.86 and 76 337.86, respectively, with statistically significant differences (χ2=23.97, P<0.05).
Conclusion
Alcohol consumption is an independent protective factor for new-onset cholelithiasis, and the risk of cholelithiasis is decreased with increasing alcohol intake.
Key words:
Cholelithiasis, new onset; Gall stone; Drinking; Incidence; Predictive power; Epidemiology method
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