The association between neutrophil-to-lymphocyte count ratio and mortality in septic patients: a retrospective analysis of the MIMIC-III database

Background Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte count ratio (NLCR) has been shown as a feasible parameter associated with outcomes of tumor patients and an accessible predictor of bacteremia. However, only a handful of research shed the light on the association between NLCR and outcomes of septic patients. This study is aimed to evaluate the association between NLCR and all-cause mortality in a population of adult septic patients. Methods We extracted clinical data from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-III V1.4, a free, large-scale, single-center database. NLCR was computed individually. Patients were categorized by quartiles of NLCR. The associations between NLCR quartiles and 28-day all-cause mortality in septic patients were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models and subgroup analyzes. To evaluate the accuracy of NLCR in predicting 28-day mortality of sepsis, receiver operator characteristic curves (ROC), areas under the curve (AUC), and the Youden's J Index were calculated. Other outcomes included 7-day all-cause mortality, mortality in the intensive care units (ICU), in-hospital mortality and length of ICU stay. Results A total of 3,043 eligible patients were included in the study, of which, 760, 759, 766 and 758 patients were fallen in the first quartile (≤5.89), the second quartile (>5.89, ≤10.69), the third quartile (>10.69, ≤20.25) and the fourth quartile (>20.25) of NLCR, respectively. The 7-day mortality (13.4%, 9.9%, 13.6% and 14.2%; P=0.064) showed no difference in the four quartiles. In multivariate analysis, after adjusting for confounding factors, the highest NLCR quartile (>20.25) was associated with increased 28-day all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 1.22, 95% Cl: 1.01-1.49; P=0.046]. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) for NLCR was 0.553 (95% CI: 0.529-0.576) for 28-day mortality. Conclusions High NLCR (>20.25) is independently related to increased 28-day all-cause mortality in adult septic patients of a limited sensibility and specificity. Further large multi-center prospective studies are needed to confirm such relationship and to validate whose clinical significance.