Chest computed tomography signs associated with pejorative evolution in COVID-19 patients

Purpose The aim of this study was to evaluate how chest computed tomography (CT) can predict pejorative evolution in COVID-19 patients. Material and methods Data on 349 consecutive patients who underwent a chest CT either for severe suspected COVID-19 pneumonia or clinical aggravation and with COVID-19 were retrospectively analysed. In total, 109 had laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 infection by a positive reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) and were included. The main outcomes for pejorative evolution were death and the need for invasive endotracheal ventilation (IEV). All the CT images were retrospectively reviewed, to analyse the CT signs and semiologic patterns of pulmonary involvement. Results Among the 109 COVID-19 patients, 73 (67%) had severe symptoms of COVID-19, 28 (25.7%) needed an IEV, and 11 (10.1%) died. The following signs were significantly associated with both mortality and need for IEV: traction bronchiectasis and total affected lung volume ≥ 50% (p < 10-3). Other CT signs were only associated with the need of IEV: vascular dilatation, air bubble sign, peribronchovascular thickening, interlobular thickening, and number of involved lobes ≥ 4 (p < 10-3). Conclusions On a chest CT performed during the first week of the symptoms, the presence of traction bronchiectasis and high values of affected lung volume are associated with the need for IEV, and with mortality, in COVID-19 patients.