Duplex ultrasound for the prediction of vascular events associated with arteriovenous fistulas in hemodialysis patients

ObjectiveTo determine if duplex ultrasound (US) for arteriovenous fistulas (AVFs) can predict vascular events (VEs; thrombosis and stenosis).MethodsDuplex US was performed for vascular access evaluation in 2557 maintenance hemodialysis (HD) patients between October 1, 2013 and March 31, 2016. Of these patients, 2184 patients were finally included in this study. AVF dysfunction was assessed using the brachial artery blood flow volume (Qa; mL/min), arterial blood flow resistance index (RI), and residual diameter of the fistula vein (RD; mm). Proximal, midpoint, and distal aspects of the fistulas were measured. The baseline measurements were the US assessments, and the endpoint was VEs requiring vascular access intervention therapy or vascular surgery. Associations of US findings and VEs were assessed with receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, log-rank analysis, and multivariate Cox hazard models.ResultsThe mean Qa was 772.8 ± 441.4 mL/min; RI, 0.56 ± 0.1; and RD, 2.37 ± 1.0 mm. The optimal Qa cu...