Monetary policies and the macroeconomic performance of Vietnam

The operation and impacts of Vietnam’s monetary policies while opening to the international macro-economy are investigated using quantitative analysis of the Trilemma rule and structural vector autoregression (SVAR) estimation of monetary transmission channels. As abrupt opening of the capital account and unappreciated channel effects can make monetary policy markedly less effective, policy foundations need revisiting. An extension of the monetary channel framework underlying monetary policies, in Vietnam and elsewhere, is proposed. More comprehensive monitoring and analysis of monetary channels and effects using the framework developed could greatly improve the information available to decision makers, policy effectiveness and economic performance.