Understanding Effects of Barriers on the Spread and Control of Rabies

Abstract This chapter reviews the evidence for the impact of natural and anthropogenic barriers on the spread of rabies using evidence mainly drawn from the epidemics of fox and raccoon variant rabies virus over the past 60 years in North America. Those barriers have both directed and inhibited the spread of rabies and, at a regional scale, have been integrated with rabies control efforts in North America. Few studies have been done, however, to examine how the texture (grain) and configuration of the habitat at finer scales affect rabies control, particularly the massive oral vaccination campaigns in operation along the Atlantic coast and southeastern Canada (Ontario, Quebec, New Brunswick). To explore these questions, the authors used stochastic simulation. The model of choice was the Ontario Rabies Model (ORM) adapted for use on the high performance computing resources network in Quebec (RQCHP—Reseau quebecois de calcul de haute performance; http://rqchp.qc.ca ). The combination of the ORM and RQCHP allowed us to run many thousands of experiments to explore interactions between nine landscape grain/configuration combinations and vaccination barriers with varying widths and immunity levels. Our results show that breaches of vaccine barriers increase as the grain size of the landscape increases and as the landscape becomes more structured. We caution that mid levels of vaccination can be counterproductive resulting in rabies persistence rather than control. We also note that our model/computing system has the flexibility and capacity to explore a wide range of questions pertinent to improving the efficacy of rabies control.