Dust polarization modeling at large-scale over the Northern Galactic cap using EBHIS and Planck data.

The primary source of systematic uncertainty in the quest for the B-mode polarization of the Cosmic Microwave Background introduced by primordial gravitational waves is polarized thermal emission from Galactic dust. Therefore, accurate characterization and separation of the polarized thermal dust emission is an essential step in distinguishing such a faint CMB B-mode signal. We provide a modeling framework to simulate polarized thermal dust emission based on the model described in Ghosh et al. (2017), making use of both the Planck dust and Effelsberg-Bonn Hi surveys over the northern Galactic cap. Our seven-parameter dust model, incorporating three layers of Hi gas in different phases as a proxy of variable dust intensity and a phenomenological model of Galactic magnetic field, is able to reproduce both 1- and 2-point statistics of observed dust polarization maps seen by Planck at 353 GHz over a selected low-column density sky region in the northern Galactic cap. This work has important applications in assessing the accuracy of component separation methods and in quantifying the confidence level of separating polarized Galactic emission and the CMB B-mode signal, as is needed for ongoing and future CMB missions.