Older age at first tuberculosis diagnosis is associated with tuberculosis recurrence in HIV-negative persons

SETTING: Tuberculosis (TB) clinic in Durban, South Africa. OBJECTIVE: To assess the factors associated with TB recurrence among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) negative adults and children. DESIGN: We conducted a retrospective longitudinal study from January 2000 to December 2012. We defined recurrence as a TB episode occurring within the study period after treatment completion or cure of a previous episode. We used a multivariable Poisson regression model to assess the factors associated with the number of recurrences among HIV-negative patients. RESULTS: Among 17 941 patients with known HIV status, 3653 (20%) were HIV-negative; of these, 235 (6%) had one recurrence, 21 (1%) had two recurrences and 4 (0.1%) had three recurrences. The median follow-up time from the end of treatment for the first episode was 3.0 years (interquartile range 1.9-4.2). Age at the first TB episode was significantly associated with the number of TB recurrences: younger patients had the lowest rate of recurrence, with a steady increase in rates until age 40 years, after which rates stabilized. CONCLUSIONS: TB recurrence rates among HIV-negative patients were higher at increased age at the first TB episode. Further translational studies are needed to clarify the factors that drive multiple TB recurrences in older age, including impaired immunity, the results of which have implications for TB vaccine development.