Predicting future training opportunities using the land-use evolution and impact assessment model

Abstract : The future training/testing capacities of military installations and their surrounding regions are increasingly based on today's smart regional planning in collaboration with surrounding cities, counties, and states. Developing urban patterns around installations can be steered in a manner that ensures the continued viability of the installation to support present and future missions. Researchers have developed a two-step process to link proposed regional plans to future training/testing opportunities. The first step is to project future urban patterns that are likely to develop. This document covers the second step: identifying where military training will be tolerated, in future urban patterns, by people living near installations. It includes discussions of mathematical modeling approaches that convert projected urban patterns into maps of where noise, dust, and smoke will be tolerated by surrounding communities and where light from the communities will not interfere with night training.