STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF RANDOM UNCERTAINTY IN THE PIPES CONVEYING MULTI-PHASE FLOW BASED ON NONLINEAR DYNAMIC MODEL

2015 
Original Research Paper Received 18 April 2015 Accepted 14 June 2015 Available Online 04 July 2015 There are many researches on the vibration behavior of the multi-phase flow in the pipes. However, there is no general statistical study on the dynamic response of such systems. Therefore in this paper, at first, the nonlinear equation governing the transverse vibration of the pipe is derived using the Hamilton's principle. The nonlinearity in the system is induced by considering large deflections. The interaction between the pipe and the multi-phase fluid flow and the resultant uncertainty is modeled by random excitation which is produced by using normal distribution function. After extraction of the governing equation and discretizing it by the Galerkin method, the equations are solved numerically. The statistical parameters of the response have been extracted by Monte-Carlo simulation. With studying on the deflection of one point on the pipe and also considering corresponding upper and lower limit band (confidence interval), extended results of uncertainties effects have been obtained. The results show that with increasing the velocity of the fluid, the uncertainty of the response is increasing. Also, by considering nonlinear model, the probabilities of failure are increased.
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