Stochasticity explains differences in the number of de novo mutations between families

The number of de novo mutations (DNMs) in the human germline is correlated with parental age at conception, but this explains only part of the observed variation. We investigated whether there is a family-specific contribution to the number of DNMs in offspring. The analysis of DNMs in 111 dizygotic twin pairs did not identify a significant family-specific contribution. This result was corroborated by comparing DNMs of 1669 siblings to those of age-matched unrelated offspring. In addition, by modeling DNM data from 1714 multi-offspring families we estimated that the family specific contribution explains approximately 5.2% of the variation in DNM number. Furthermore, we found no significant difference between the observed number of DNMs and those based on a stochastic Poisson process. We conclude that a family-specific contribution to DNMs is small and that stochasticity explains a large proportion of variation in DNM counts.