Prehospital parameters can help to predict coagulopathy and massive transfusion in trauma patients

Background This study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of prehospital parameters, including vital signs and resuscitation (fluids, vasopressor), to predict trauma-induced coagulopathy (TIC, fibrinogen 1·5 or platelet count <100 × 109/l), and a massive transfusion (MT, ≥10 RBC units within the first 24 h). Methods From a trauma registry (2011–2015), in which patients are prospectively included, we retrospectively retrieved the heart rate (HR), systolic blood pressure (SBP), volume of prehospital fluids and administration of noradrenaline. We calculated the shock index (SI: HR/SBP), the MGAP prehospital triage score and the Injury Severity Score (ISS). We also identified patients who had positive criteria from the Resuscitation Outcome Consortium (ROC, SBP 107 pulse/min). For these parameters, we drew a ROC curve and defined a cut-off value to predict TIC or MT. The strength of association between prehospital parameters and TIC as well as MT was assessed using logistic regression, and cut-off values were determined using ROC curves. Results Among the 485 patients included in the study, TIC was observed in 112 patients (23%) and MT in 22 patients (5%). For the prediction of TIC, ISS had good accuracy (AUC: 0·844, 95% confidence interval, CI: 0·799–0·879), as did the volume of fluids (>1000 ml) given during prehospital care (AUC: 0·801, 95% CI: 0·752–0·842). For the prediction of MT, ISS had excellent accuracy (AUC: 0·932, 95% CI: 0·866–0·966), whereas good accuracy was found for SI (> 0·9; AUC: 0·859, 95% CI: 0·705–0·936), vasopressor administration (AUC: 0·828, 95% CI: 0·736–0·890) and fluids (>1000 ml; AUC: 0·811, 95% CI: 0·737–0·867). Vasopressor administration, ISS and SI were independent predictors of TIC and MT, whereas fluid volume and ROC criteria were independent predictor of TIC but not MT. No independent relationship was found between MGAP and TIC or MT. Conclusions Prehospital parameters including the SI and resuscitation may help to better identify the severity of bleeding in trauma patients and the need for blood product administration at admission.