Ingress of Coolant Event simulation with TRACE code with accuracy evaluation and coupled DAKOTA Uncertainty Analysis

Abstract Among the Postulated Initiating Events in nuclear fusion plants, the Ingress of Coolant Event (ICE) in the Plasma Chamber is one of the main safety issues. In the present paper, the best estimate thermal-hydraulic system code TRACE, developed by USNRC, has been adopted to study the ICE, and it has been qualified based on experimental results obtained in the Integrated ICE facility at JAERI. A nodalization has been developed in the SNAP environment/architecture, using also the TRACE 3D Vessel component where multidimensional phenomena could occur. The accuracy of the code calculation has been assessed both from a qualitative and quantitative point of view. In addition, an Uncertainty Analysis (UA), with the probabilistic method to propagate the input uncertainties, has been performed to characterize the dispersion of the results. The analysis has been carried out with the DAKOTA toolkit coupled with TRACE code in the SNAP environment/architecture. Results show the adequacy of the 3D nodalization and the capability of the code to follow the transient evolution also at a very low pressure. Response correlations have been computed to characterize the correlation between the selected uncertain input parameters and the Plasma Chamber pressure.