Predictors of student success in Higher Education: Secondary school internal scores versus national exams

Funding text: We acknowledge financial support from Fundacao para a Ciencia e Tecnologia (UID/ECO/00124/2013, PTDC/ IIM-ECO/6813/2014 and Social Sciences Data Lab project 22209), POR Lisboa (LISBOA-01–0145-FEDER007722 and Social Sciences Data Lab project 22209) and POR Norte (Social Sciences Data Lab project 22209). We thank Direcao-Geral de Estatisticas da Educacao e Ciencia for providing the data. We are indebted to two anonymous reviewers that contributed to improve the paper