Effects of Random Migration on the Growth of the Population of a Biological System

The problem under consideration is an example of the anomalous behavior of systems with an explosive pattern of behavior in a random medium. The growth is modeled of a population of microorganisms as a result of their migration into a closed region with favorable conditions for regeneration. The initial number of microorganisms inside the region under consideration can be zero and the number of organisms outside the region is a random quantity. The rate of growth of the population as a result of reproduction is proportional to the squared size of the population, and the rate of extinction of the population is proportional to the population size. The microorganisms arrive inside the region due to diffusion, and the condition for mass transfer is assigned at the region′s boundary. As a result of averaging over the region′s volume, an equation has been obtained for the average size of the population. For a stationary number of microorganisms outside the region, a new class has been obtained of analytical solutions describing the change in the size of the population inside the region depending on the biological characteristics of the system and parameters of migration. The effects of random fluctuations in the number of microorganisms outside the region under consideration are studied on the basis of two approaches. In the first case, a closed-form equation was obtained for the probability density function of a random number of microorganisms inside the region. The effects of random migration on the population′s growth dynamics have been investigated on the basis of a closed system for the first and second moments of the fluctuation in the number of microorganisms. In the second case, direct modeling was implemented of the behavior of a random size of the population inside the region on the basis of solution of a stochastic ordinary differential equation. It has been shown that random fluctuations may result in anomalous growth of the microbiological population size compared to the determinate case.