Multilevel model estimation of age-dependent individual-specific trajectories for left ventricular echocardiographic indexes in an asymptomatic elderly cohort

Few studies have been performed on the individual-specific trajectory of left ventricular aging as assessed by echocardiography in an asymptomatic elderly cohort. In the present study, a representative cohort of elderly men, who were long-term asymptomatic for cardiovascular issues, were selected from an ongoing observational aging study. Annual echocardiographic data were used to establish an age-dependent hierarchical model. Based on two-level linear regression results, four echocardiographic indexes [left ventricular mass (LVmass; −1.872 g/yr), posterior ventricular wall thickness (−0.048 mm/yr), fraction shortening (0.097/yr), and transmitral peak A velocity (−0.006 m·s−1·yr−1)] changed significantly with increasing age and were age- and subject-dependent. The most characterized results of the study were the significant, age-related, within-individual variances in echocardiographic results, which were observed using the likelihood ratio test at an occasion-dependent level. Of these, fluctuated amplitu...