Reconstructions of droughts in Germany since 1500 – combining hermeneutic information and instrumental records in historical and modern perspectives
2020
Abstract. The present article deals with the reconstruction of drought time
series in Germany since 1500. The reconstructions are based on historical
records from the virtual research environment Tambora (tambora.org, 2018) and official
instrumental records. The historical records and recent data were related
to each other through modern index calculations, drought categories and
their historical equivalents. Historical and modern written documents are also taken into account to
analyze the climatic effects and consequences on the environment and society.
These pathways of effects are derived and combined with different drought
categories. The derived historical precipitation index (HPI) is correlated with the
standardized precipitation index (SPI). Finally, a historical drought index
(HDI) and a historical wet index (HWI) are derived from the basic monthly
precipitation index (PI) from 1500 onward. Both are combined for the historical
humidity index (HHI). On this basis, the long-term development of dryness
and drought in Germany since 1500, as well as medium-term deviations of drier
and wetter periods and individual extreme events, is presented and
discussed.
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