Baltic cod reproduction in the Gotland Basin : annual variability and possible causes

Baltic cod spawning takes place in the deep basins and reproduction success is mainly related to environmental conditions (salinity and oxygen regimes, i.e. the 'reproduction volume'). Due to the Baltic Sea heterogeneity, cod reproduction success in the Southem and Centrat Baltic spawning grounds can differ significantly. Recent oceanographic changes i.e. decrease of water exchange and stagnation, as weil as a strong reduction of spawning stock caused the diminishing of the reproduction potential of the Gotland spawning grounds. The Gotland spawning grounds belong to four main cod spawning sites in the Baltic and historical analyses revealed that abundant generations of Baltic cod were produced when successful cod reproduction took place also in the Gotland Basin. Analyses of revised reproduction volume estimates for the Gotland Basin taking into account the spatial structure of hydrology in the basin during stagnation and aeration periods reveals high seasonal and inter-annual variability. To describe changes of abundance and distribution of the spawning stock and the recruits in relation to hydrographic conditions, results from trawl surveys carried out in 1975-1998 in the Gotland Deep are analyzed. In this analysis, the reproduction volume is used as a proxy for the environmental conditions.