Association Between Aspartate Aminotransferase to Alanine Aminotransferase Ratio and Incidence of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in the Japanese Population: A Secondary Analysis of a Retrospective Cohort Study

Background The study on the association between aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT) ratio and the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) was limited. Therefore, we conducted a secondary analysis based on online data to explore whether there was an association between the AST/ALT ratio and incident T2DM among a large number of Japanese people. Methods The study was a retrospective cohort study. We downloaded the NAGALA (NAfld in Gifu area) data from DATADRYAD website between 2004 and 2015. This present study included 15,291 participants. Cox proportional-hazards regression, generalized additive models and subgroup analyses were used to find out the association between the AST/ALT ratio and T2DM events. Results The negative relationship was shown between AST/ALT ratio and incident T2DM (HR = 0.617, 95% CI: 0.405-0.938) in our study. A non-linear relationship and saturation effect were found between them, and the inflection point was 0.882. It indicated that the AST/ALT ratio was negatively correlated with incident T2DM when the AST/ALT ratio was less than the inflection point (HR = 0.287, 95% CI: 0.126-0.655, p = 0.0030). We found that exercise modified their relationship (P for interaction = 0.0024), and people who did not exercise associated strongly (HR = 0.464 95% CI: 0.290-0.741). Conclusion AST/ALT ratio was negatively associated with T2DM risk, and their relationship was non-linear and had a saturation effect. When the AST/ALT ratio was less than 0.882, they showed a significant negative correlation.