Using a Recently Approved Tumor Mutational Burden Biomarker to Stratify Patients for Immunotherapy May Introduce a Sex Bias

Abstract The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) recently approved the treatment with pembrolizumab, an immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) targeting PD1 (anti-PD1), for patients with advanced solid tumors with a high tumor mutational burden (TMB) (defined as TMB ≥10 mutations/Mb). However, following recent studies suggest that TMB levels and response to ICI treatment may differ between male and female melanoma patients, we investigated whether using this high-TMB threshold for selecting patients for anti-PD1 treatment may induce a sex-dependent bias. We analyzed a large ICI cohort of 1,286 patients across nine cancer types treated with anti-PD1/PDL1. We find that using this threshold would indeed result in an unwarranted sex bias in melanoma, successfully stratifying female but not male patients. While this threshold is currently not a regulatory prerequisite for ICI treatment in melanoma, it is important to raise awareness to this bias. Notably, no sex-dependent significant differences were observed in the response of melanoma patients to anti-CTLA4 therapies, different chemotherapies or combination therapies. Beyond melanoma, the high-TMB threshold additionally introduces a sex bias of considerable magnitude in glioblastoma and in patients with cancers of unknown origin, however, these results are not statistically significant. A power analysis shows that these biases may become significant with larger sample size, warranting further careful testing in larger cohorts.