Power secondary equipment risk assessment method and system thereof

2011 
The invention provides a power secondary equipment risk assessment method and a system thereof. By building a calculation model for secondary equipment maintenance state values in advance, the maintenance state values of secondary equipment can be calculated according to the maintenance state parameters of the power secondary equipment. By building a secondary equipment fault probability curve, the maintenance state values are converted into the fault probabilities of the secondary equipment. Then, by building a calculation model for secondary equipment fault loss values, corresponding probable losses caused by all kinds of faults to the secondary equipment are calculated. The products of the fault loss values and the fault probabilities are taken as the risk values of the secondary equipment. Secondary equipment state assessment is closely correlated with risk assessment through the average fault probability of the equipment. The current operation risk of the equipment can be obtained through a state assessment result. Therefore, operators can aim at and well do the operation and maintenance of the equipment according to the calculation results of the risk values, secondary professional operation management can be optimized and objective bases can be provided for equipment type selection and whether the equipment is required to be replaced or not.
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