Determination, validation and standardization of a CMV DNA cut-off value in plasma for preemptive treatment of CMV infection in solid organ transplant recipients at lower risk for CMV infection

Abstract Background Valganciclovir preemptive therapy guided by the viral load is the current strategy recommended for preventing CMV disease in CMV-seropositive Solid Organ Transplant Recipients (SOTR) at lower risk for developing CMV infection. However, universal viral load cut-off has not been established for initiating therapy. Objectives Our goal was to define and validate a standardized cut-off determined in plasma by real-time PCR assay for initiating preemptive therapy in this population. Study design A prospective cohort study of consecutive cases of CMV-seropositive SOTR was carried out. The cut-off value was determined in a derivation cohort and was validated in the validation cohort. Viral loads were determined using the Quant CMV LightCycler 2.0 real-time PCR System (Roche Applied Science) and results were standardized using the WHO International Standard for human CMV. Results A viral load of 3983 IU/ml (2600 copies/ml) was established as the optimal cut-off for initiating preemptive therapy in a cohort of 141 patients with 982 tests and validated in a cohort of 252 recipients with a total of 2022 test. This cut-off had a 99.6% NPV indicating that the great majority of patients at lower risk will not develop CMV disease without specific antiviral therapy. The high sensitivity and specificity (89.9% and 88.9%, respectively) and the relatively small numbers of patients with CMV disease confirm that real-time PCR was optimal. Conclusions We have established a cut-off viral load for starting preemptive therapy for CMV-seropositive SOT recipients. Our results emphasized the importance of a mandatory follow-up protocol for CMV-seropositive patients receiving preemptive treatment.