Characterization of the variability in climate extremes in the Ferkessédougou sugar complexes (Northern Côte d'Ivoire)
2021
Abstract. This study aims to analyse the frequency, intensity and duration
of extreme climate events in order to optimise sugarcane production in the
Ferkessedougou sugar complexes. The methodological approach is based on
the calculation of extreme climate indices defined by the Expert Team on
Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) from daily rainfall and
temperature data observed at the Ferke 2 station over the period
1999–2018. The results show that the rainfall indices are negative, except
for the number of consecutive dry days (CDD); this shows a decreasing trend
in rainfall with, however, insignificant trends. Over the period 1999–2006,
the number of intense rainfall days (R10 mm) decreased from 40 to 28 d with an average decrease of 0.3 d yr −1 and the number of very
intense rainfall days (R20 mm) fluctuated between 26 and 2 d, with a slope
of 0.083. The extreme temperature indices show statistically significant
positive trends for the warm sequences; this confirms the rising of
temperatures on both a local and national scale. This study could enable the
Ferkessedougou sugar complexes managers to develop strategies for
adaptation to climate change.
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