MODELAGEM E TENDÊNCIA DA TEMPERATURA MÉDIA DO AR DA CIDADE DE SALVADOR-BAHIA

This paper verifies the trend and performs the modeling of the mean air temperature (Tma) Salvador (BA) city, with data from 1961 to 2012 with a view to projecting its climatological variability for a period of 30 years (2013-2042). The trend test of Mann-Kendall indicated positive trend in Tma and Dynamic Regression Model estimated an Tma of 25.8oC above the climatological normal current of 25.3oC.