Plasma metabolic alterations and potential biomarkers in individuals at clinical high risk for psychosis.

Abstract Background Early identification and treatment of clinical high-risk for psychosis (CHR P) are critical to prevent the onset of psychosis, but there is no objective biomarker for CHR-P diagnosis. Methods Ninety medication naive CHR-P subjects and eighty-six healthy controls (HCs) were recruited. The metabolic profiles of plasma samples were acquired using an untargeted metabolomics approach based on ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography equipped with quadrupole time-of-flight mass spectrometry. The obtained data were further mapped on the Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes for pathway analysis, and an ensemble learning method was applied to identify diagnostic biomarkers. Bayesian linear regression model was then used to explore predicative biomarkers of conversion to psychosis. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to evaluate the diagnostic or predicative value of potential biomarkers. Results A total of one hundred and four differential metabolites and forty-eight differential pathways were identified. A panel of five metabolites was found that could effectively discriminate CHR-P from HCs with area under the ROC curve of 1 in the training set (70% of the samples) and 0.997 in the testing set (30% of the samples). The biosynthesis of unsaturated fatty acids pathway perturbed most significantly in CHR-P subjects. Twenty-three CHR-P subjects converted to psychotic disorders during two-year follow-up, and increased 1-stearoyl-2-arachidonoyl-sn-glycerol in plasma was potentially associated with the higher risk of conversion to psychosis. Conclusions These findings demonstrate the alterations of plasma metabolic profiles in CHR-P population, which may deliver valuable biomarkers for early identification and outcome prediction of CHR-P.