Newsvendor revisited: risk premiums of loss aversion

2018 
ABSTRACTThe classical newsvendor model in economics and decision theory treats losses and gains equally likely. However, decision makers are usually loss-averse as probable losses have more impact on humans than probable gains. This study presents a new variant of the newsvendor problem of loss-averse decision makers. The optimal order quantity is found by maximizing the expected utility of bounded functions. The implications of loss aversion on the certainty equivalents and risk premiums were also analyzed. Two case studies of exponential utility and normal demand were considered. A new elegant form of the optimal order quantity is established. The results show that when exponential loss aversion exists, the newsvendor optimal quantity serves as a lower(upper) bound on the optimal quantities. Moreover, high loss aversion entails higher RP. Similar findings hold by increasing the overage/underage costs and the demand standard deviation. Possible future extensions are demonstrated at the end of the paper.
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