Análise dos indicadores da COVID-19 no Nordeste Brasileiro em quatro meses de pandemia

Introduction: the novel coronavirus or SARS-CoV-2 came up in the end of 2019 in China and quickly spread, resulting in a global outbreak. The COVID-19 pandemic, how was called the disease caused by the virus, was declared by WHO in March and surpassed the mark of one million of cases and 50 thousands of deaths in Brazil after three month since the first case was confirmed. Objective: The paper aimed to analyze the evolution of COVID-19 indicators in Brazilian Northeast and correlate it to the social distancing levels in each northeastern state. Method: It is a traversal study with data collected from epidemiological panels of Health Ministry of Brazil and University of Sao Paulo about cases and deaths numbers and from the geolocation’s company Inloco that calculated the social distancing levels. The analyzed variables were incidence rate, mortality rate, lethality coefficient and social distancing index. Results: The indicators are interdependent and there is certain correlation between the social distancing levels and incidence and mortality rates – they were weak or moderate. Conclusion: Differences between northeastern states, mainly social ones, reflect in their indicators and in the pandemic impact in each of them. It is a challenge proposed for health gestors.