Предварительная оценка максимального объема твердых отложений селя методами математической статистики для Центрального Кавказа

For the Central Caucasus preliminary assessment methodology developed maximum amount of solid deposits mudflow based method for estimating debris flow activity for the Central Caucasus, received at the Federal State Budget Institution "Mountain Geophysical Institute."In this work was refined typing mud pools KBR genetic type of mudflow depending on the height of the river source. Further multivariate analysis conducted communication between the maximum amount of solid deposits mudflow (W) and area (S), average slope of the channel (α), the length of debris bed (L) in the debris basins Kabardino-Balkaria. Empirical correlations were obtained. Degree of correlation between W and S, α, L after separation on these groups was detected. Technique passed the test checks for areas of Kabardino-Balkaria and North Osetia-Alania. During the prepredict the maximum amount of debris solid component obtained when testing the relative errors are quite acceptable.