Historical and idealized climate model experiments: an intercomparison of Earth system models of intermediate complexity
2013
Both historical and idealized climate model ex- periments are performed with a variety of Earth system mod- els of intermediate complexity (EMICs) as part of a commu- nity contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fifth Assessment Report. Historical simulations start at 850 CE and continue through to 2005. The standard sim- ulations include changes in forcing from solar luminosity, Earth's orbital configuration, CO 2, additional greenhouse gases, land use, and sulphate and volcanic aerosols. In spite of very different modelled pre-industrial global surface air temperatures, overall 20th century trends in surface air tem- perature and carbon uptake are reasonably well simulated when compared to observed trends. Land carbon fluxes show much more variation between models than ocean carbon
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