Effect of Threat Control Management Strategies on Number Infected by COVID-19

As COVID-19 pandemic emerged, quick decisions in response to sudden emergence and rapid spread around the world were required Strict actions deployed to tackle the COVID-19 pandemic are likely to have prevented millions of additional infections and reduce the number of fatalities during the pandemic The actions varied from one country or territory to another based on the threat control management (TCM) strategy such as preventing, avoiding, mitigating, and accepting The TCM involved emergency measures such as isolation, restriction on traveling, closing of nonessential businesses, physical distancing, lockdown and quarantine Thus, this study introduces a generic dynamic framework that a country can follow to reduce the effects of COVID-19 on the number of infected people and fatalities Samples of information and data about countries were reviewed, collected, and analyzed The countries were classified based on the collected data and the curve representing the numbers of infections into countries;with green (flattened the curve and winning), orange (need more actions), and red (failing) colors The analyses indicate that most of the countries deployed strict actions and applied TCM with preventing and avoiding strategies were winning countries, apparently, avoiding is the best TCM based on the values of the performance indicators In conclusion, the generic dynamic framework can be implemented to study the effects of the TCM on the number of infected patients and fatalities caused by the COVID-19 Also, strict actions in response to the pandemic are promising to prevent millions of additional infections and reducing the number of fatalities during the pandemic © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG