Classification criteria for varicella zoster virus anterior uveitis

ABSTRACT Purpose To determine classification criteria for varicella zoster virus (VZV) anterior uveitis Design Machine learning of cases with VZV anterior uveitis and 8 other anterior uveitides. Methods Cases of anterior uveitides were collected in an informatics-designed preliminary database, and a final database was constructed of cases achieving supermajority agreement on the diagnosis, using formal consensus techniques. Cases were split into a training set and a validation set. Machine learning using multinomial logistic regression was used on the training set to determine a parsimonious set of criteria that minimized the misclassification rate among the anterior uveitides. The resulting criteria were evaluated on the validation set. Results One thousand eighty-three cases of anterior uveitides, including 123 cases of VZV anterior uveitis, were evaluated by machine learning. The overall accuracy for anterior uveitides was 97.5% in the training set and 96.7% in the validation set (95% confidence interval 92.4, 98.6). Key criteria for VZV anterior uveitis included unilateral anterior uveitis with either 1) positive aqueous humor polymerase chain reaction assay for VZV; 2) sectoral iris atrophy in a patient ≥60 years of age; or 3) concurrent or recent dermatomal herpes zoster. The misclassification rates for VZV anterior uveitis were 0.9% in the training set and 0% in the validation set, respectively. Conclusions The criteria for VZV anterior uveitis had a low misclassification rate and appeared to perform sufficiently well for use in clinical and translational research.