Kidney transplantation threshold in patients with hepatitis C: a decision analysis model.

There are no standard guidelines for the permissible degree of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus prohibiting cadaveric renal transplantation (CRT).A decision analysis model was constructed to compare 5-year patient survival using three strategies for patients on hemodialysis. The probabilities of pretransplant and posttransplant survival, progression of liver fibrosis, CRT, and sustained viral response were obtained from a systematic review of the literature. Sensitivity analyses were performed.Kidney transplantation was associated with improved 5-year survival for patients with fibrosis stages 1 to 3, but not stage 4 (cirrhosis). Antiviral therapy was associated with improvement in survival in patients with stage 3 fibrosis. The 5-year survival was similar for patients with stage 4 irrespective of the option of antiviral therapy. The model was sensitive to varying the probability of both pretransplant and posttransplant survival.There appears to be no overall 5-year survival benefit in treating S1 and S2 fibrosis patients with hepatitis C virus antiviral therapy before CRT. There is no benefit in overall 5-year survival in patients with cirrhosis and thus should not be candidates for CRT.