A New Risk Score to Predict Long-Term Cardiac Mortality in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction Complicated by Cardiogenic Shock and Treated With Primary Percutaneous Intervention
2017
Poor data exist about predictors of long-term cardiac mortality in patients presenting acute myocardial infarction (AMI) complicated by cardiogenic shock (CS) treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (p-PCI), and current risk-adjustment models in this setting are not adequate. We retrospectively analyzed our registry of patients with AMI treated with p-PCI. The aim of this study was to identify the independent predictors of 2-year cardiac mortality in patients presenting CS. A Risk Score was created assigning at any independent variable a value directly correlated with its power to increase mortality. From 1995 to 2013, 4,078 consecutive patients underwent primary PCI for AMI. Of these, 388 patients (10.5%) had CS on admission. The p-PCI procedural success was 85%. At 2-year follow-up, the overall cardiac mortality rate was 48%. The independent predictors related with mortality were: out of hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) (hazard ratio [HR] 1.51; p = 0.04), age >75 years (HR 2.09; p ≤0.001), and failure p-PCI (HR 2.30; p 75 years: 1 point, failed p-PCI: 1.5 points). The mortality rates among different score risk level were highly significant (p 2), respectively. In conclusion, OHCA, age >75 years, and failed p-PCI are strong predictors of 2-year cardiac mortality. On the basis of this, a rapid score tool could be useful to identify patients at major risk of death.
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