THE INFLUENCE OF HIGHWAY AND RAILWAY CONSTRUCTION ON SPATIAL DEVELOPMENT: A MODELLING APPROACH

Changes in transport infrastructure are likely to produce changes in land use. This paper presents a model that both predicts land use patterns, and provides advice about optimum land use. To illustrate the capabilities of the model, an application of the model in the Washington D.C.- Baltimore area is presented. The model is then applied to a 'standard' city in order to determine how spatial distribution of activities is influenced by changes in: a) car ownership, and changes in the highway and public transport network; b) population growth; and c) depreciation of real estate. For the covering abstract of the conference see IRRD 856918.