Towards Payment-Bound Analysis in Cloud Systems with Task-Prediction Errors

In modern cloud systems, how to optimize user service level based on virtual resources customized on demand is a critical issue. In this paper, we comprehensively analyze the payment bound under a cloud model with virtual machines (VMs), by taking into account that task's workload may be predicted with errors. The analysis is based on an optimized resource allocation algorithm with polynomial time complexity. We theoretically derive the upper bound of task payment based on a particular margin of workload prediction-error. We also extend the payment-minimization algorithm to adapt to the dynamic changes of host availability over time, and perform the evaluation by a real-cluster environment with 56 VMs deployed. Experiments confirm the correctness of our theoretical inference, and show that our payment-minimization solution can keep 95% of user payments below 1.15 times as large as the theoretical values of the ideal payment with hypothetically accurate information. The ratio for the rest user payments can be limited to about 1.5 at the worst case.