Age and composite end-point events in medium follow-up of patients with carotid artery total occlusion using drug therapy

Abstract Background and aims The outcome of carotid artery total occlusion (CATO) is unclear. The aim of this study is to report the medium incidence of composite end-point events and risk factors (especially age), in patients with CATO, treated medically. Methods This was a single center retrospective study. Composite end-point events included death, ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, hemorrhagic stroke, myocardial infarction, or angina. Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze risk factors of composite end-point events. Results A total of 94 patients with CATO were included in the study. The mean follow-up duration was 30 ± 16 months. There were 16 cases who experienced composite end-point events (17.0%); among them, there were 15 cases of death (16.0%), 8 cases of ischemic stroke (7 cases of fatal stroke and 1 case of non-fatal stroke) (8.5%), and 1 case of angina pectoris (1%) (the patient later developed ischemic stroke). With increased age, the incidence of composite end-point events was significantly increased ( p  = 0.002). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that only age was a risk factor (OR = 3.051 (1.351–6.890), p  = 0.007). Conclusions The incidence of composite end-point events in patients with CATO was as high as 17.0% at approximately 3 years after drug therapy alone. For every 10 years of age increase, the risk increase of composite end-point events doubles.