A PASSENGER TRAVEL DEMAND MODEL FOR COPENHAGEN

This paper provides a detailed description of the passenger travel demand model for Copenhagen, which is a state-of-practice model. The model is built in a nested logit structure in which the generation, distribution and mode choice sub-models are connected via the measure of accessibility. In its structure, the model includes a large set of explanatory variables at all three levels. The model forecasting results for 2000 exhibit a very good fit to the observed car and public transport traffic, demonstrating the model's validity. Some model results also closely match the results from other well-established models. The model is applied in a study of road pricing in Denmark to demonstrate how such a policy measure can be modeled as well as the plausible magnitude of changes caused by a road pricing system. In one of the defined scenarios in the case study, the number of vehicle-kilometers dropped approximately 11 percent after assigning the car matrices on the road network, which is in line with results from similar projects.