Планирование основного показателя финансово-экономического состояния предприятия и рейтинговых оценок соблюдения предприятием финансовой дисциплины

This article presents a solution to the problem of formation of integrated management strategies for working capital and finding methods of control actions that enhance the value added produced. The article considers the main indicator of the financial and economic situation of the enterprise, as well as two ratings – the first rating represents the geometric mean probability of compliance with restrictions set by the terms of the optimization of the main exponents of the problem, the other – the recommendations of the financial management. In case when among some probabilities used in calculating the estimates some will be equal, they can be grouped and considered approach can be modified by using weighting coefficients reflecting the different importance of separate groups of probabilities and different contribution of each of them in the final decision. To do this, the geometric mean of partial probabilities should be changed to the geometric weighted mean – the relative value added products. These ratings are useful when compared with dynamics of the financial discipline of an enterprise, as well as in analysis of the activity of enterprises similar in terms of production volumes and assortment .Individual probability is determined by the Monte Carlo method using Oracle Crystal Ball software package. The method to estimate the financial and economic situation of the enterprise is developed , including the proximity of the crisis forecast for the company based on the calculation of indicators of variability (stability) of the relative value-added products. The work is continued with the target to find strategies for management of complex enterprise balance, its optimization and determination of the appropriate management actions.