Chronorisk in cluster headache: A tool for individualised therapy?:

BackgroundThe mechanisms behind the severe pain of cluster headache remain enigmatic. A distinguishing feature of the attacks is the striking rhythms with which they occur. We investigated whether statistical modelling can be used to describe 24-hour attack distributions and identify differences between subgroups.MethodsCommon hours of attacks for 351 cluster headache patients were collected. Probability distributions of attacks throughout the day (chronorisk) was calculated. These 24-hour distributions were analysed with a multimodal Gaussian fit identifying periods of elevated attack risk and a spectral analysis identifying oscillations in risk.ResultsThe Gaussian model fit for the chronorisk distribution for all patients reporting diurnal rhythmicity (n = 286) had a goodness of fit R2 value of 0.97 and identified three times of increased risk peaking at 21:41, 02:02 and 06:23 hours. In subgroups, three to five modes of increased risk were found and goodness of fit values ranged from 0.85–0.99. Spectral...