Perspectives on decarbonizing the transport sector in the EU-28

Abstract The transport sector is of great importance at a global level in order to become a low-carbon economy by 2050. In the European Union the transport sector accounts for 20% of anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Electric propulsion systems might be a feasible solution for greenhouse gas mitigation in the transport sector. Based on our cost assumptions, grid-connected electric vehicles play no major role in the analyzed scenarios until 2030 but reach high market shares (over 90%) under stringent greenhouse gas mitigation targets until 2050. Renewable electricity plays a crucial role in providing the additional power needed in the transport sector. Financial incentives seem to be effective in order to reach the cost optimal car mix in France and Germany.