Компаративный анализ методологических основ задач прогнозирования исходов выборов и протестов по цифровым следам пользователей в социальных медиа

Filchenkov A.A., Azarov A.A., Abramov M.V. The problem of forecasting protest activity on digital traces of social media users is still unresolved, in addition there is no scientific articles on this topic. This article uses comparative analysis of this problem and the problem of forecasting election results, which is already sufficiently studied. The comparison was carried out on six selected criteria: representation, representativeness, openness, theoretical predictability, the mathematical formulation of the problem and the availability of data.