Analysis of Financial Risk Protection Indicators in Myanmar for Paediatric Surgery.

PURPOSE To estimate proportion of Myanmar paediatric population at risk of impoverishment and catastrophic expenditure due to emergency surgical intervention. METHODS Prospective data were collected at two tertiary surgical centres including income, household expenses, expenses related to surgery. Data analysis was performed to estimate out-of-pocket (OOP) direct medical costs and OOP total costs. Catastrophic expenditure: expense exceeded 10% of household income. Risk of impoverishment: net income drops were below an impoverishment threshold (PPP-purchasing power parity): I$ 2.00 PPP/day, I$ 1.25/day PPP, national poverty line. Distribution of income was estimated using a gamma distribution. Comparison to an adult cohort was performed using Chi-square test with a p value of <0.05 being significant. RESULTS A total of 145 surveys were collected, and 119 (82.1%) contained sufficient data: Paediatric Centre (n = 99) and Adult Centre (n = 20). Overall average per patient direct medical and non-medical OOP costs was I$493: Centre 1: I$540 PPP (range I$41-6,588 PPP) and Centre 2: I$437 PPP (range I$ 36-1,405 PPP). 64% experienced catastrophic expense. There is no significant difference between the centres in the risks of impoverishment or catastrophic expenditure (p = 0.05). Up to 44% are at risk of catastrophic expenditure should surgery be required. Most of the risk (90%) is derived from direct non-medical costs. A high proportion were at the national poverty line threshold (36.1%). Seeking surgical treatment would imperil up to 37% at the national poverty line threshold, and up to 5.7% at the I$2 PPP per day limit. CONCLUSIONS A large proportion of the Myanmar population are at risk of impoverishment or catastrophic expenditure should they require surgery. Financial risk protection mechanisms are needed.