Predictive Factors for the Diagnosis of Irritable Bowel Syndrome in a Large Cohort of 440,822 Young Adults

Background: The prevalence of irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) in the community has been reported in numerous cross-sectional surveys. However, little is known about the incidence and predictive factors for the clinical diagnosis of IBS. Methods: We examined the association of socioeconomic, anthropometric, and occupational factors with the incidence of IBS in a cohort of 440,822 young Israeli adults aged 18 to 39 who served in active military service during the years 2005 to 2011. Results: During the follow-up of 1,925,003 person-years, IBS was diagnosed de novo in 976 patients, giving an incidence rate of 221:100,000 (0.2%) person-years for the diagnosis of IBS. On multivariable Cox analysis, higher socioeconomic status [hazard ratio (HR) 1.629; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.328-1.999; P Conclusions: This study provides novel data on the socioeconomic, anthropometric, and occupational factors predictive for IBS development. The predictive factors for IBS diagnosis may point to the fact that stress had a lower impact on IBS incidence in our study cohort.