Стохастичне моделювання сумісного прийняття рішень “екіпаж – керівник польотів” в особливому випадку в польоті

Effective interaction “flight crew – air traffic manager” is a prerequisite for ensuring flight safety in standard conditions and during flight emergency. The life of air passengers in the sky and the third parties on the ground depends on adequate interaction between the pilot and the ground services. The airspace users exchange information to achieve the optimal solution agree on the approach and principles of decision-making and apply them in practice. Any incident is the quintessence of errors. The investigation of an aviation incident reveals the mistakes that were made at different stages: pilot training, aircraft maintenance, deficiencies in air navigation services and other points. The main task of this process is to increase the efficiency of the Air Navigation System as a whole, while adhering to the equality of interests of individual participants in air navigation services. In this article the models of the Collaborative Decision Making (CDM) by flight crew and air traffic manager in stochastic uncertainty conditions in the form of a decision tree and a GERT network are presented. The example of СDM in flight emergency “Left engine failure (constraint limit temperature system failure) of two - engine aircraft”, is given. For a comprehensive accounting of the factors affecting the CDM process in flight emergency, an adaptive intelligent collaborative decision support system has been built, which makes it possible considering dynamic, static and expert information about the state of the control object (aircraft), the external environment (characteristics of the air traffic control zone and aerodromes) and Air Navigation System’s operators (characteristics of the pilot, air traffic controller). The ICDSS analysis allows us to draw conclusions about the need to create databases of two types. The first group includes databases, which are a stationary data source that is created before the start of ICDSS; to the second - a dynamic data source - databases, which are built by the system itself when processing dynamic information about the aircraft, ATC area, ANS operators and further used by it.