Population pharmacokinetics–pharmacodynamics of oral everolimus in patients with seizures associated with tuberous sclerosis complex
2018
Everolimus is approved in Europe and in the USA for the adjunctive treatment of patients aged 2 years and older whose refractory partial-onset seizures, with or without secondary generalization, are associated with tuberous sclerosis complex. The objective of this analysis was to establish a population pharmacokinetic (PK)/pharmacodynamic model describing the relationship between seizure frequency and everolimus exposure to confirm the recommended target concentration range of 5–15 ng/mL. The PK model was a two-compartment model with first order absorption and clearance. CYP3A and P-gp inducers and body-surface area were shown to impact everolimus exposure, justifying dose adjustments. A Poisson distribution was found to adequately describe the random nature of daily seizure counts during the screening phase. A placebo effect on the Poisson seizure mean was implemented as an asymptotic exponential function of time leading to a new steady-state seizure mean. The everolimus effect was implemented as an inhibitory Emax function of Cmin on the seizure mean, where Emax exhibited an asymptotic exponential increase over time to a higher steady-state value. Increasing age was found to decrease the baseline seizure mean and to prolong the half-life of the increase in Emax. The dependence of seizure frequencies on Cmin was explored by simulation. The responder rate increased with increasing Cmin. As Cmin decreased below 5 ng/mL, variability in response became larger and responder rates decreased more rapidly. The results supported the recommended target concentration range for everolimus of 5–15 ng/mL to ensure treatment efficacy.
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