Bifurcations of an sirs epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate
2010
The main purpose of this paper is to explore the dynamics of an
epidemic model with a general nonlinear incidence
$\beta SI^p/(1+\alpha I^q)$. The existence and stability
of multiple endemic equilibria of the epidemic model are analyzed.
Local bifurcation theory is applied to explore the rich dynamical
behavior of the model. Normal forms of the model are derived for
different types of bifurcations, including Hopf and Bogdanov-Takens
bifurcations. Concretely speaking, the first Lyapunov coefficient is
computed to determine various types of Hopf bifurcations. Next,
with the help of the Bogdanov-Takens normal form, a family of
homoclinic orbits is arising when a Hopf and a saddle-node
bifurcation merge. Finally, some numerical results and simulations
are presented to illustrate these theoretical results.
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