Predicting the fracture initiation pressure for perforated water injection wells in fossil energy development

Abstract Water injection is widely performed to enhance oil recovery in fossil energy development. The fracture initiation pressure (FIP) is a key parameter for designing the reasonable injection pressure for micro-fracturing water injection (MFWI). In this work, a modified method was presented to accurately predict the FIP, in which the thermal effect and plugging effect were considered; moreover, the stress around perforations was analyzed. To validate our method, the field tests, including a step rate test (SRT) and a well test, were conducted to obtain the actual FIP for perforated water injection wells, and then the FIP calculated by our method was compared with a low relative error of about 1.7%. Results show that (i) a greater temperature difference between the injected water and the formation forms a greater thermal stress around perforations, resulting in a greater change in the FIP; (ii) a larger skin factor causes a greater pressure drop for the injected water flowing through a plugged area, resulting in a stronger effective stress reduction around perforations and further producing a larger FIP. Therefore, our present work illustrates a better understanding of the stress distribution around a perforated wellbore, and paves a path for a more accurate prediction of the FIP in perforated water injection wells.