Acute kidney injury after hepatectomy can be reasonably predicted after surgery

BACKGROUND: Hepatectomy presents unique challenges potentially heightening acute kidney injury (AKI) risk, but the full spectrum of risk factors has not been identified. METHODS: Data for hepatectomy patients in the 2016 American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (n = 3,814) was randomly split into derivation (70%) and validation (30%) cohorts. AKI was defined as an increase in serum creatinine ≥0.3 mg/dl or ≥1.5-fold above the preoperative value within 30 days of surgery. Multivariable logistic regression assessed preoperative and intraoperative risk factors for AKI. RESULTS: Of 2,692 patients (derivation cohort), 432 (16%) developed AKI. Risk factors were the following: age (years; adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.016 [95% confidence interval 1.006-1.026], female sex (aOR 0.65 [0.51-0.82]), body mass index (kg/m2 ; aOR 1.043 [1.024-1.062]), diabetes (aOR 1.71 [1.31-2.24]), hypertension (aOR 1.66 [1.30-2.13]), hematocrit (%; aOR 0.944 [0.924-0.966]), operative time (min; aOR 1.004 [1.003-1.004]), planned open procedure (aOR 2.00 [1.47-2.73]), and Pringle maneuver (aOR 1.36 [1.07-1.72]). The areas under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic curves were 0.74 (95% CI 0.71-0.76) and 0.71 (95% CI 0.67-0.75) in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Postoperative AKI affects one in six hepatectomy patients; preoperative and intraoperative factors can predict the risk of postoperative AKI.