Dynamics of growth differentiation factor 15 in acute heart failure.

Aims Risk stratification in acute heart failure (HF) patients can help to decide therapies and time for discharge. The potential of growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF-15) in HF has been previously shown. We aimed to study the importance of GDF-15-level variations in acute HF patients. Methods and results We retrospectively evaluated a cohort of patients hospitalized due to acute HF. GDF-15 was measured both at admission and on the discharge day. Patients were followed-up during a 3 year period. The endpoint under analysis was all-cause mortality. GDF-15 variation is equal to [(admission GDF-15 - discharge GDF-15)∕admission GDF-15] × 100. Variation was categorized in levels of increase or decrease of GDF-15. Patients were cross-classified according to admission and discharge GDF-15 cut-off points. A Cox regression analysis was used to assess the prognostic impact of GDF-15 variation and the impact of both admission and discharge GDF-15 according to the cross-classification. We studied a group of 249 patients with high co-morbidity burden. Eighty-one patients died at 1 year and 147 within 3 years. There was a modest decrease in GDF-15 during hospitalization from a median value of 4087 to 3671 ng/mL (P = 0.02). No association existed between GDF-15 variation and mortality. In multivariate analysis, patients with admission GDF-15 ≥ 3500 ng/mL and discharge GDF-15 ≥ 3000 ng/mL had a significantly higher 1 year death risk when compared with the remaining-hazard ratio = 2.59 (95% confidence interval: 1.41-4.76)-and a 3 year 1.76 (95% confidence interval: 1.08-2.87) higher death risk compared with those with both values below the cut-off. Conclusions Growth differentiation factor 15 decreased during an acute HF hospitalization, but its variation had no prognostic implications. The knowledge of both admission and discharge GDF-15 added meaningful information to patients' risk stratification.