Relationship between eutrophication reference conditions and boundary settings considering OSPAR recommendations and the Water Framework Directive—examples from the German Bight

In order to allow for natural variability, the original OSPAR assessment procedure for eutrophication (Comprehensive Procedure) sets the threshold between Non-Problem/Problem Area (elevated levels) at 50% above natural background concentrations, which is equivalent to the boundary setting good/moderate for the EU Water Framework Directive (WFD). The 50% level corresponds to the recent natural variability of nutrient gradients in coastal and estuarine waters in the German Bight. Based on this threshold, a proposal is given for the additional boundary settings required for the WFD assessments. Examples, based on concentrations of total nitrogen and other correlated eutrophication components, are presented. However, for eutrophication effects such as oxygen deficiency, reduced transparency and increased transboundary loads, especially for offshore regions, 50% exceedance of the natural background surpasses ‘slight differences’ as recommended by the boundary good/moderate for the WFD. For this reason, 15% is proposed as the boundary setting for good/moderate and discussed for different parameters. Overlapping between recent means and their standard deviations and the four boundary settings for the WFD cannot be avoided, thereby causing weak assessments. Since the part of the variability of recent data is caused by hydrodynamics, coupled with salinity variation, the variability could be reduced to some degree by relating the data to mean salinities. By doing this, the significance of classifications could be improved. The application of this procedure is discussed for examples from the German Bight.